Fire AggroTier 2
at Store Championship (MRC)
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.8%
avg ELO -7.1 per match
expected value
40.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1221
· median 1221
· range 1217–1226
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1187
Q3 1295
1569
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 25.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
